1 Updates

Transportation data key to how pandemics spread

Feb 18 2013, 3:23am CST | by

Washington, Feb 18 (IANS) Predicting how pandemics spread has become a huge challenge, as they no longer follow centuries-old patterns when town after town fell prey.

Washington, Feb 18 — Predicting how pandemics spread has become a huge challenge, as they no longer follow centuries-old patterns when town after town fell prey. Instead, diseases spread seemingly at...

Filed under: news

Full Story below YouTube Videos

 
 

 

1 year ago

Transportation data key to how pandemics spread

Feb 18 2013, 3:23am CST | by

Washington, Feb 18 (IANS) Predicting how pandemics spread has become a huge challenge, as they no longer follow centuries-old patterns when town after town fell prey.

Washington, Feb 18 — Predicting how pandemics spread has become a huge challenge, as they no longer follow centuries-old patterns when town after town fell prey.

Instead, diseases spread seemingly at random, and sometimes spread like wildfire, precipitated by the interactions of three billion air travellers per year.

A new computational model shows promise in throwing light on the spread of pandemics.

Dirk Brockmann, associate professor of engineering sciences and applied mathematics at the Northwestern University's McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science, uses transportation data to develop models that better locate the source of an outbreak and help determine how a disease could spread.

The new tool would give governments and clinicians an important -- and potentially lifesaving -- advantage in responding to the disease, but current prediction models are limited.

Previous pandemic models have been based on geographical distance, but geography provides an incomplete picture of a pandemic, according to a Northwestern statement.

For instance, New York City and London are geographically very far apart, but with approximately 10,000 people travelling between the cities daily, the cities are far more connected than, for instance, New York City and Milwaukee, which are geographically closer.

Using network theory and official transportation data, Brockmann developed a model that can accurately generate the origin of an outbreak and the predicted arrival times of a pandemic in specific locations.

The model can generate these findings using only data about the geographical location and number of occurrences of the disease.

"Spatial disease dynamics become far more straightforward when viewed from the right perspective using our technique," Brockmann said.

These findings were presented at the 2013 American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) annual meeting in Boston.

IANS

Source: IANS

 

Don't miss ...

 

<a href="/latest_stories/all/all/8" rel="author">Luigi Lugmayr</a>
Luigi is the founding Chief Editor of I4U News and brings over 15 years experience in the technology field to the ever evolving and exciting world of gadgets. He started I4U News back in 2000 and evolved it into vibrant technology magazine.
Luigi can be contacted directly at ml@i4u.com. Luigi posts regularly on LuigiMe.com about his experience running I4U.

 

blog comments powered by Disqus

Latest stories

Apple Releases Update for FaceTime to Fix the Issues
Apple Releases Update for FaceTime to Fix the Issues
The FaceTime bugs has been fixed, but the issues for the iOS 6 version is unlikely to be solved
 
 
Add Wi-Fi To A Digital Camera And Upload Unlimited Images To The Eyefi Cloud Service
These days it hardly seems possible to buy a camera that doesn’t have GPS, Wi-Fi or even a ‘Smile Detection’ mode built in… but do you really need all those extras? And what if you have a camera that is perfectly...
 
 
Tesla CEO Makes Smooth Drive Into China
I have to give my congratulations to new energy car maker Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) for creating the kind of buzz and excitement this week that only names like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and smartphone sensation Xiaomi have...
 
 
Apple Earnings Preview: Everyone's Mind Is Made Up
At this point Wall Street and the technology press expect so little from Apple's earnings, it will be difficult to disappoint them. If you read through Chuck Jones’ post here on Forbes or the consensus forecast Philip...
 
 
 

Latest from the Network

Procter & Gamble Profit Rises On 6% Boost In Home Care Products
Consumer goods giant Procter & Gamble is known for household products like Tide, Duracell and Swiffer, and on Wednesday morning P&G revealed just how valuable these brands are. The company reported a 5% increase...
Read more on Business Balla
 
Albert Pujols: By The Numbers
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim first baseman Albert Pujols made history Tuesday night when he became the first player to hit career home runs No. 499 and 500 in the same game. At 34 years old, Pujols becomes the third...
Read more on Business Balla
 
How To Launch And Sell Out A Conference In Five Weeks
By David Spinks and Max Altschuler “You need at least four months to put together a conference.” That’s the advice we heard time and time again after beginning our work on CMX Summit, a conference for the fast-growing...
Read more on Business Balla
 
How Conventional Wisdom Killed George Washington
Don’t be fooled. Throughout history, every generation believes it understands how our world works. And yet we look back and realize that many conventional beliefs were wrong. Today I’d like to share a story that makes...
Read more on Business Balla
 
Chiasson / Newman Appeal Heard On Insider Trading Conviction
Preet Bharara’s victory lap on insider trading cases seems like a distant memory now.  His 80-0 winning record on insider trading prosecutions started with the big bust on October 16, 2009 with the arrest of Galleon...
Read more on Business Balla
 
Network Equals Net Worth
“It’s not what you know, but whom you know.”

 This old adage is truer now than ever before. If you’re motivated to become wealthy or be successful in any endeavor, your ability to curate and leverage resources is,...
Read more on Business Balla
 
Asian Americans Are The Hidden Bystanders In Michigan Affirmative Action Case
As a couple of commentators at the Volokh Conspiracy have noted, yesterday’s Schuette v. BAMN decision rambles across five opinions and more than 100 pages, yet mentions the word “Asian” not once. The word “minority”...
Read more on Business Balla
 
Despite Canceling 17K Flights Delta Delivers Profit Growth
Severe winter weather cost Delta Airlines $90 million in lost revenue. That didn’t stop the airline from delivering better than anticipated earnings results. The airline reported $8.9 billion in operating revenue for...
Read more on Business Balla
 
It's Good To Be The (Ex) President. But It Wasn't Always.
Former presidents do pretty well for themselves. They get a pension of almost $200,000 a year, plus hundreds of thousands more for office and administrative support. All in all, not a bad gig. But the life of a former...
Read more on Business Balla
 
When A Breach Is A Benefit
Most people know that when one party breaches a contract the other party may sue for its provable damages. But what if the non-breaching party does not suffer any losses? If a breach actually provides a benefit to the...
Read more on Business Balla
 
 
Auto Balla Sexy Balla Sport Balla TV Balla Politics Balla Movie Balla Apple Balla Business Balla Ad Balla Celebrity Balla